Earnings Options Radar
Unusual short-dated options positioning ahead of earnings · Not investment advice
Research lead, not investment advice
A flag means something unusual happened here and is worth a closer look — it does not mean
someone has inside knowledge or a guaranteed edge. Free data cannot confirm which side of a
trade was the aggressor (bought vs. sold), and a genuine high-conviction bet can look
structurally identical, in timing and shape, to an ordinary hedge against an existing position.
Directional accuracy
16/39 (41%)
— did the stock move the flagged way, one vote per earnings event
Contract outcome
3/48 (6%)
— did the flagged contract make money by expiry, one vote per contract
| Ticker | Type | Strike / Expiry | Earnings | Vol / OI | Premium at Risk | Implied vs Typical | Score | Outcome | Confluence | Alert | Scanned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVS | put |
$36.50 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (4.0%) · 32% of chain volume
|
21/10/2026 | 1212 / 108 (11.2x) | $67K |
±6.2% implied
vs ±5.1% typical (n=8)
1.20× — fairly priced
|
63
Call/put imbalance (3250C/3262P)0.0 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total63/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Dry run |
18/10/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
| CME | put |
$287.50 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (2.1%) · 22% of chain volume
|
21/10/2026 | 115 / 0 | $62K |
±3.9% implied
vs ±1.6% typical (n=8)
2.35× — expensive
|
61
Call/put imbalance (198C/331P)6.3 pts
Short interest (3.2d cover)17.1 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total61/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | High | Skipped |
20/10/2026
flagged 3 days ↑
|
| URI | put |
$910.00 · 23/10/2026
far-OTM (14.2%) · 8% of chain volume
|
21/10/2026 | 194 / 0 | $111K |
±10.0% implied
vs ±2.5% typical (n=8)
3.96× — expensive
|
59
Call/put imbalance (157C/2251P)21.7 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total59/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | High | Dry run |
14/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| URI | put |
$830.00 · 23/10/2026
deep-OTM (19.0%) · 30% of chain volume
|
21/10/2026 | 544 / 0 | $92K |
±9.4% implied
vs ±2.5% typical (n=8)
3.75× — expensive
|
53
Call/put imbalance (776C/1022P)3.4 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total53/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | High | Skipped |
20/10/2026
flagged 5 days ↓
|
|
TXN
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
Premium $1.1M
(92nd pct)
IV 84%
(86th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$290.00 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (4.9%) · 25% of chain volume
|
21/10/2026 | 1474 / 104 (14.2x) | $1.1M |
±8.6% implied
vs ±4.0% typical (n=8)
2.17× — expensive
|
49
Call/put imbalance (3901C/2189P)7.0 pts
Short interest (3.1d cover)17.1 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (contradicted flagged side)0.0 pts
Total49/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Skipped |
18/10/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
| URI | put |
$860.00 · 23/10/2026
deep-OTM (17.9%) · 20% of chain volume
|
21/10/2026 | 608 / 0 | $109K |
±7.6% implied
vs ±2.5% typical (n=8)
3.02× — expensive
|
43
Call/put imbalance (423C/2678P)18.2 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (contradicted flagged side)0.0 pts
Total43/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | High | Skipped |
16/10/2026
flagged 2 days ↓
|
| DHR | put |
$222.50 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (2.9%) · 35% of chain volume
|
21/10/2026 | 571 / 0 | $315K |
±6.8% implied
vs ±5.9% typical (n=8)
1.14× — fairly priced
|
42
Call/put imbalance (953C/678P)4.2 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total42/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | High | Dry run |
19/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| TMO | put |
$670.00 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (3.8%) · 25% of chain volume
|
21/10/2026 | 203 / 0 | $388K |
±8.5% implied
vs ±3.3% typical (n=8)
2.58× — expensive
|
38
Call/put imbalance (405C/400P)0.2 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (contradicted flagged side)0.0 pts
Total38/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | High | Dry run |
16/10/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
| TXN | call |
$297.50 · 23/10/2026
far-OTM (7.6%) · 23% of chain volume
|
21/10/2026 | 1431 / 0 | $776K |
±8.6% implied
vs ±4.0% typical (n=8)
2.17× — expensive
|
37
Call/put imbalance (3959C/2204P)7.1 pts
Short interest (3.1d cover)17.1 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (contradicted flagged side)0.0 pts
Total37/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Dry run |
19/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| TMO | call |
$740.00 · 23/10/2026
far-OTM (7.2%) · 20% of chain volume
|
21/10/2026 | 271 / 0 | $155K |
±6.4% implied
vs ±3.3% typical (n=8)
1.95× — expensive
|
26
Call/put imbalance (654C/685P)0.6 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (falling)0.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total26/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Skipped |
19/10/2026
flagged 3 days ↓
|
|
GILD
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
Concentration 51% of flow
(89th pct)
Score 71/100
(84th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$170.00 · 23/10/2026
far-OTM (11.1%) · 51% of chain volume
|
22/10/2026 | 3058 / 0 | $107K |
±2.8% implied
vs ±3.5% typical (n=8)
0.79× — cheap
|
71
Call/put imbalance (5088C/949P)17.1 pts
Short interest (3.4d cover)16.6 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total71/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Skipped |
20/10/2026
flagged 3 days ↓
|
| CORZ | call |
$14.50 · 23/10/2026
ATM (0.3%) · 27% of chain volume
|
22/10/2026 | 2115 / 0 | $110K |
±9.3% implied
vs ±9.7% typical (n=5)
0.96× — fairly priced
|
70
Call/put imbalance (7519C/400P)22.5 pts
Short interest (5.8d cover)10.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total70/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Dry run |
16/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| CORZ | put |
$13.00 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (3.6%) · 36% of chain volume
|
22/10/2026 | 3868 / 195 (19.8x) | $174K |
±8.2% implied
vs ±9.7% typical (n=5)
0.85× — fairly priced
|
69
Call/put imbalance (935C/9987P)20.7 pts
Short interest (5.8d cover)10.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total69/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Dry run |
17/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| CMCSA | call |
$22.00 · 23/10/2026
ATM (0.5%) · 46% of chain volume
|
22/10/2026 | 3525 / 608 (5.8x) | $243K |
±6.7% implied
vs ±4.7% typical (n=8)
1.41× — fairly priced
|
65
Call/put imbalance (5107C/9499P)7.5 pts
Short interest (1.9d cover)20.2 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total65/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | Low | Dry run |
18/10/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
| CMCSA | put |
$21.00 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (4.1%) · 36% of chain volume
|
22/10/2026 | 5208 / 947 (5.5x) | $172K |
±6.7% implied
vs ±4.7% typical (n=8)
1.41× — fairly priced
|
65
Call/put imbalance (5107C/9499P)7.5 pts
Short interest (1.9d cover)20.2 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total65/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | Low | Dry run |
18/10/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
|
NDAQ
⚡
Concentration 90% of flow
3.3σ above normal (97.6th pct)
→ high bearish positioning
|
put |
$90.00 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (4.2%) · 90% of chain volume
|
22/10/2026 | 1189 / 0 | $117K |
±3.7% implied
vs ±2.4% typical (n=8)
1.52× — expensive
|
54
Call/put imbalance (93C/1227P)21.5 pts
Short interest (2.2d cover)19.6 pts
IV behavior (falling)0.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total54/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | High | Skipped |
19/10/2026
flagged 2 days ↓
|
| DECK | call |
$90.00 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (4.0%) · 58% of chain volume
|
22/10/2026 | 1064 / 0 | $325K |
±10.4% implied
vs ±16.4% typical (n=8)
0.64× — cheap
|
53
Call/put imbalance (1501C/348P)15.6 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total53/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | Low | Dry run |
16/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| RNG | call |
$76.00 · 23/10/2026
ATM (1.1%) · 23% of chain volume
|
22/10/2026 | 500 / 0 | $350K |
±16.6% implied
vs ±4.7% typical (n=8)
3.51× — expensive
|
40
Call/put imbalance (1734C/438P)14.9 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (contradicted flagged side)0.0 pts
Total40/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Dry run |
15/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| SPOT | put |
$475.00 · 23/10/2026
far-OTM (10.9%) · 11% of chain volume
|
22/10/2026 | 255 / 0 | $140K |
±11.0% implied
vs ±8.4% typical (n=8)
1.31× — fairly priced
|
38
Call/put imbalance (1171C/1109P)0.7 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total38/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | High | Dry run |
16/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| XOM | call |
$190.00 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (6.2%) · 9% of chain volume
|
23/10/2026 | 2768 / 408 (6.8x) | $83K |
±3.1% implied
vs ±1.7% typical (n=8)
1.88× — expensive
|
80
Call/put imbalance (24922C/4473P)17.4 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total80/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Skipped |
18/10/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
|
XOM
⚡
Vol/OI 317.6x
extreme by market norms (>20x)
97.9th pct within flagged set
→ extreme bullish positioning
2 signals elevated together:
Vol/OI 317.6x
extreme by market norms (>20x)
98th pct within flagged set
Score 80/100
(98th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$197.50 · 23/10/2026
far-OTM (10.3%) · 36% of chain volume
|
23/10/2026 | 10481 / 33 (317.6x) | $136K |
±3.1% implied
vs ±1.7% typical (n=8)
1.88× — expensive
|
80
Call/put imbalance (24922C/4473P)17.4 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total80/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Skipped |
18/10/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
| AXP | call |
$327.50 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (4.4%) · 29% of chain volume
|
23/10/2026 | 2408 / 113 (21.3x) | $600K |
±4.0% implied
vs ±4.7% typical (n=8)
0.86× — fairly priced
|
66
Call/put imbalance (6856C/1444P)16.3 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total66/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Dry run |
18/10/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
| SLB | put |
$47.00 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (2.8%) · 55% of chain volume
|
23/10/2026 | 737 / 0 | $52K |
±5.3% implied
vs ±2.6% typical (n=8)
2.05× — expensive
|
52
Call/put imbalance (281C/1074P)14.6 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total52/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | High | Dry run |
16/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| AXP | call |
$330.00 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (5.1%) · 45% of chain volume
|
23/10/2026 | 1568 / 0 | $353K |
±5.0% implied
vs ±4.7% typical (n=8)
1.06× — fairly priced
|
49
Call/put imbalance (2566C/920P)11.8 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total49/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Dry run |
16/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| CDNS | call |
$332.50 · 30/10/2026
near-OTM (4.1%) · 18% of chain volume
|
26/10/2026 | 58 / 0 | $61K |
±9.1% implied
vs ±3.1% typical (n=8)
2.92× — expensive
|
46
Call/put imbalance (254C/76P)13.5 pts
Short interest (2.2d cover)19.6 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (contradicted flagged side)0.0 pts
Total46/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Dry run |
19/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
STX
⚡
OTM % 46.8%
4.8σ above normal (99.5th pct)
→ extreme bullish positioning
|
call |
$970.00 · 30/10/2026
deep-OTM (46.8%) · 41% of chain volume
|
27/10/2026 | 2530 / 0 | $369K |
±11.5% implied
vs ±4.9% typical (n=8)
2.34× — expensive
|
58
Call/put imbalance (4717C/1500P)12.9 pts
Short interest (1.8d cover)20.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total58/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
⏳ Pending | — | Dry run |
20/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| COF | call |
$205.00 · 23/10/2026
near-OTM (3.1%) · 34% of chain volume
|
20/10/2026 | 264 / 0 | $82K |
±5.4% implied
vs ±4.9% typical (n=8)
1.11× — fairly priced
|
58
Call/put imbalance (698C/352P)8.2 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total58/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
— | — | Dry run |
16/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| RTX | call |
$187.50 · 23/10/2026
ATM (0.5%) · 24% of chain volume
|
20/10/2026 | 320 / 0 | $146K |
±5.3% implied
vs ±4.9% typical (n=8)
1.08× — fairly priced
|
39
Call/put imbalance (729C/659P)1.3 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total39/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
— | — | Dry run |
13/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| TRV | call |
$400.00 · 16/10/2026
near-OTM (4.2%) · 11% of chain volume
|
16/10/2026 | 377 / 0 | $54K |
±3.5% implied
vs ±4.4% typical (n=8)
0.79× — cheap
|
60
Call/put imbalance (1076C/2524P)10.1 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total60/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +0.4% Win | — | Dry run |
16/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| ALK | call |
$40.00 · 16/10/2026
ATM (1.2%) · 48% of chain volume
|
15/10/2026 | 3052 / 0 | $320K |
±6.3% implied
vs ±4.8% typical (n=8)
1.33× — fairly priced
|
51
Call/put imbalance (4858C/1483P)13.3 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total51/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -1.7% Miss | High | Dry run |
09/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| BAC | call |
$57.00 · 16/10/2026
near-OTM (6.3%) · 23% of chain volume
|
14/10/2026 | 16058 / 0 | $289K |
±4.4% implied
vs ±2.0% typical (n=5)
2.20× — expensive
|
59
Call/put imbalance (47482C/22168P)9.1 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total59/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -4.2% Miss | — | Dry run |
09/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| WFC | call |
$82.50 · 16/10/2026
ATM (0.6%) · 8% of chain volume
|
13/10/2026 | 975 / 0 | $181K |
±4.9% implied
vs ±4.3% typical (n=8)
1.16× — fairly priced
|
67
Call/put imbalance (12727C/2282P)17.4 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total67/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -2.9% Miss | High | Dry run |
09/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| WFC | call |
$83.00 · 16/10/2026
ATM (1.2%) · 37% of chain volume
|
13/10/2026 | 5502 / 0 | $930K |
±4.9% implied
vs ±4.3% typical (n=8)
1.16× — fairly priced
|
67
Call/put imbalance (12727C/2282P)17.4 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total67/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -2.9% Miss | High | Dry run |
09/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| JNJ | put |
$252.50 · 16/10/2026
ATM (1.6%) · 10% of chain volume
|
13/10/2026 | 687 / 0 | $210K |
±3.8% implied
vs ±2.0% typical (n=8)
1.88× — expensive
|
50
Call/put imbalance (6510C/2179P)12.5 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total50/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ -3.7% Win | High | Dry run |
09/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| DAL | call |
$86.00 · 09/10/2026
near-OTM (2.2%) · 36% of chain volume
|
09/10/2026 | 5923 / 0 | $1.3M |
±7.4% implied
vs ±4.0% typical (n=8)
1.83× — expensive
|
59
Call/put imbalance (15362C/1106P)21.6 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total59/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -2.5% Miss | — | Dry run |
02/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
DAL
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
Premium $1.4M
(90th pct)
Concentration 47% of flow
(85th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$87.00 · 09/10/2026
near-OTM (3.4%) · 47% of chain volume
|
09/10/2026 | 7672 / 0 | $1.4M |
±7.4% implied
vs ±4.0% typical (n=8)
1.83× — expensive
|
59
Call/put imbalance (15362C/1106P)21.6 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total59/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -2.5% Miss | — | Dry run |
02/10/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| UEC | call |
$10.50 · 02/10/2026
far-OTM (11.6%) · 58% of chain volume
|
29/09/2026 | 6417 / 444 (14.5x) | $64K |
±8.6% implied
vs ±4.9% typical (n=8)
1.76× — expensive
|
56
Call/put imbalance (7249C/4285P)6.4 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total56/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +2.6% Win | — | Skipped |
27/09/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
|
KR
⚡
3 signals elevated together:
Premium $1.0M
(88th pct)
Concentration 46% of flow
(85th pct)
Score 71/100
(83rd pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$60.00 · 11/09/2026
near-OTM (2.4%) · 46% of chain volume
|
09/09/2026 | 9036 / 439 (20.6x) | $1.0M |
±5.6% implied
vs ±5.0% typical (n=8)
1.10× — fairly priced
|
71
Call/put imbalance (18380C/1476P)21.3 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total71/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -0.4% Miss | High | Skipped |
07/09/2026
flagged 3 days ↑
|
| KR | call |
$61.00 · 11/09/2026
near-OTM (4.1%) · 45% of chain volume
|
09/09/2026 | 8896 / 452 (19.7x) | $694K |
±5.6% implied
vs ±5.0% typical (n=8)
1.10× — fairly priced
|
71
Call/put imbalance (18380C/1476P)21.3 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total71/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -0.4% Miss | High | Skipped |
07/09/2026
flagged 3 days ↑
|
|
DOCU
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
Concentration 61% of flow
(86th pct)
IV 97%
(84th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$70.00 · 04/09/2026
far-OTM (9.4%) · 61% of chain volume
|
03/09/2026 | 1787 / 135 (13.2x) | $270K |
±11.5% implied
vs ±5.8% typical (n=8)
1.97× — expensive
|
62
Call/put imbalance (2192C/736P)12.4 pts
Short interest (5.3d cover)11.8 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total62/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +4.6% Win | — | Dry run |
29/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| IOT | put |
$39.50 · 04/09/2026
near-OTM (4.0%) · 25% of chain volume
|
03/09/2026 | 319 / 0 | $51K |
±11.2% implied
vs ±14.7% typical (n=8)
0.76× — cheap
|
40
Call/put imbalance (702C/569P)2.6 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total40/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +9.3% Miss | — | Skipped |
31/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
AI
⚡
Volume 41,146
4.0σ above normal (97.6th pct)
Premium $2.1M
3.2σ above normal (97.6th pct)
→ high bullish positioning
4 signals elevated together:
Score 87/100
(99th pct)
Premium $2.1M
(98th pct)
IV 136%
(94th pct)
Vol/OI 20.8x
extreme by market norms (>20x)
81st pct within flagged set
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$11.00 · 04/09/2026
near-OTM (4.5%) · 31% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 41146 / 1981 (20.8x) | $2.1M |
±13.5% implied
vs ±12.8% typical (n=8)
1.05× — fairly priced
|
87
Call/put imbalance (133331C/822P)24.7 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total87/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +5.4% Win | — | Skipped |
30/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
|
AI
⚡
3 signals elevated together:
Score 75/100
(96th pct)
Baseline Multiple 7.7x
(93rd pct)
Premium $956K
(84th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$11.50 · 04/09/2026
far-OTM (9.2%) · 19% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 25152 / 0 | $956K |
±13.5% implied
vs ±12.8% typical (n=8)
1.05× — fairly priced
|
75
Call/put imbalance (133331C/822P)24.7 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total75/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +5.4% Win | — | Dry run |
31/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| AI | call |
$10.50 · 04/09/2026
ATM (1.6%) · 34% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 1209 / 0 | $73K |
±13.4% implied
vs ±12.8% typical (n=8)
1.04× — fairly priced
|
62
Call/put imbalance (2746C/997P)11.7 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total62/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +5.4% Win | — | Skipped |
28/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
AVGO
⚡
Premium $20.7M
6.6σ above normal (98.9th pct)
→ extreme bullish positioning
|
call |
$370.00 · 04/09/2026
ATM (0.3%) · 23% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 14319 / 0 | $20.7M |
±8.1% implied
vs ±5.0% typical (n=8)
1.64× — expensive
|
54
Call/put imbalance (47295C/17285P)11.6 pts
Short interest (3.2d cover)17.0 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total54/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -3.4% Miss | High | Skipped |
31/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| HPE | call |
$55.00 · 04/09/2026
near-OTM (5.1%) · 19% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 3133 / 0 | $605K |
±11.4% implied
vs ±6.7% typical (n=8)
1.71× — expensive
|
50
Call/put imbalance (12809C/4060P)13.0 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total50/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +7.0% Win | — | Skipped |
31/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| LULU | call |
$127.00 · 04/09/2026
far-OTM (10.4%) · 24% of chain volume
|
02/09/2026 | 1038 / 0 | $195K |
±10.0% implied
vs ±10.3% typical (n=8)
0.98× — fairly priced
|
45
Call/put imbalance (2671C/1718P)5.4 pts
Short interest (4.4d cover)14.1 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total45/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +3.2% Win | — | Skipped |
28/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
CRDO
⚡
Premium $1.8M
3.8σ above normal (98.5th pct)
→ high bullish positioning
2 signals elevated together:
Premium $1.8M
(98th pct)
Baseline Multiple 26.9x
(98th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$230.00 · 04/09/2026
near-OTM (3.3%)
|
01/09/2026 | 1223 / 0 | $1.8M | — |
62
Call/put imbalance (2784C/727P)14.6 pts
Short interest (1.0d cover)22.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total62/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -27.0% Miss | Low | Dry run |
25/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
MDT
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
Concentration 76% of flow
(96th pct)
Premium $500K
(82nd pct)
→ bearish positioning
|
put |
$87.00 · 04/09/2026
near-OTM (3.3%) · 76% of chain volume
|
01/09/2026 | 5152 / 0 | $500K |
±5.4% implied
vs ±4.0% typical (n=8)
1.34× — fairly priced
|
58
Call/put imbalance (624C/6157P)20.4 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total58/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +1.7% Miss | High | Dry run |
28/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
MDB
⚡
OTM % 43.4%
3.4σ above normal (98.5th pct)
→ high bullish positioning
|
call |
$577.50 · 04/09/2026
deep-OTM (43.4%)
|
01/09/2026 | 698 / 0 | $149K | — |
48
Call/put imbalance (1405C/1098P)3.1 pts
Short interest (2.1d cover)19.7 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total48/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -17.2% Miss | — | Dry run |
25/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| MDT | call |
$93.00 · 04/09/2026
ATM (1.9%) · 34% of chain volume
|
01/09/2026 | 2191 / 200 (11.0x) | $359K |
±4.9% implied
vs ±4.0% typical (n=8)
1.23× — fairly priced
|
40
Call/put imbalance (3637C/2953P)2.6 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total40/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +1.7% Win | Low | Skipped |
30/08/2026
flagged 2 days →
|
|
S
⚡
3 signals elevated together:
Score 72/100
(96th pct)
Concentration 75% of flow
(94th pct)
IV 125%
(90th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$24.00 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (13.3%)
|
27/08/2026 | 3457 / 276 (12.5x) | $156K | — |
72
Call/put imbalance (4318C/304P)21.7 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total72/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +5.0% Win | — | Dry run |
23/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
|
WDAY
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
Premium $966K
(91st pct)
Score 70/100
(81st pct)
→ bearish positioning, insider confluence present
|
put |
$180.00 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (10.0%)
|
27/08/2026 | 6037 / 323 (18.7x) | $966K | — |
70
Call/put imbalance (1807C/15909P)19.9 pts
Short interest (5.1d cover)12.2 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total70/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +7.3% Miss | High | Skipped |
23/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
|
IREN
⚡
Open Interest 2,305
3.9σ above normal (97.1th pct)
Volume 19,185
3.4σ above normal (97.1th pct)
→ high bearish positioning
|
put |
$27.00 · 28/08/2026
deep-OTM (35.5%)
|
27/08/2026 | 19185 / 2305 (8.3x) | $58K | — |
61
Call/put imbalance (48273C/38644P)2.8 pts
Short interest (1.9d cover)20.3 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total61/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ -10.4% Win | — | Skipped |
23/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
| RBRK | call |
$105.00 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (7.7%)
|
27/08/2026 | 252 / 0 | $96K | — |
52
Call/put imbalance (714C/191P)14.4 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total52/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -3.2% Miss | — | Dry run |
21/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| ADSK | call |
$277.50 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (9.3%)
|
27/08/2026 | 202 / 0 | $69K | — |
44
Call/put imbalance (920C/741P)2.7 pts
Short interest (3.6d cover)16.0 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total44/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +2.3% Win | High | Skipped |
24/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| WDAY | call |
$200.00 · 28/08/2026
ATM (1.4%)
|
27/08/2026 | 327 / 0 | $240K | — |
42
Call/put imbalance (810C/552P)4.7 pts
Short interest (5.1d cover)12.2 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total42/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +7.3% Win | High | Dry run |
21/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| ADSK | call |
$265.00 · 28/08/2026
near-OTM (4.4%)
|
27/08/2026 | 452 / 0 | $334K | — |
31
Call/put imbalance (920C/741P)2.7 pts
Short interest (3.6d cover)16.0 pts
IV behavior (falling)0.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total31/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +2.3% Win | High | Skipped |
24/08/2026
flagged 3 days ↓
|
| ADSK | put |
$225.00 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (11.4%)
|
27/08/2026 | 445 / 0 | $85K | — |
31
Call/put imbalance (920C/741P)2.7 pts
Short interest (3.6d cover)16.0 pts
IV behavior (falling)0.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total31/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +2.3% Miss | — | Skipped |
24/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↓
|
| HPQ | put |
$29.00 · 28/08/2026
near-OTM (2.4%)
|
26/08/2026 | 2627 / 199 (13.2x) | $284K | — |
65
Call/put imbalance (1539C/6143P)15.0 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (rising)25.0 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total65/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +0.4% Miss | High | Dry run |
23/08/2026
flagged 2 days ↑
|
| SNPS | call |
$410.00 · 28/08/2026
near-OTM (3.0%)
|
26/08/2026 | 563 / 0 | $613K | — |
61
Call/put imbalance (1716C/358P)16.4 pts
Short interest (2.2d cover)19.4 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total61/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +13.7% Win | — | Dry run |
21/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| SNPS | call |
$467.50 · 28/08/2026
deep-OTM (17.5%)
|
26/08/2026 | 559 / 0 | $81K | — |
60
Call/put imbalance (1482C/338P)15.7 pts
Short interest (2.2d cover)19.4 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total60/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +13.7% Win | — | Dry run |
24/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| PDD | call |
$100.00 · 28/08/2026
far-OTM (11.7%)
|
24/08/2026 | 3159 / 0 | $208K | — |
48
Call/put imbalance (5998C/2106P)12.0 pts
Short interest (5.6d cover)11.1 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total48/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -0.7% Miss | — | Dry run |
21/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| AAP | call |
$62.00 · 21/08/2026
far-OTM (8.1%)
|
20/08/2026 | 5993 / 0 | $1.4M | — |
68
Call/put imbalance (13797C/2331P)17.8 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total68/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -24.6% Miss | — | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| ZIM | call |
$30.50 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (5.9%)
|
19/08/2026 | 3041 / 0 | $70K | — |
70
Call/put imbalance (8943C/885P)20.5 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total70/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -4.7% Miss | — | Dry run |
18/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| ZIM | call |
$29.00 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (3.1%)
|
19/08/2026 | 2273 / 377 (6.0x) | $102K | — |
70
Call/put imbalance (5875C/645P)20.1 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total70/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -4.7% Miss | — | Dry run |
15/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| TJX | put |
$149.00 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (2.0%)
|
19/08/2026 | 1207 / 194 (6.2x) | $246K | — |
47
Call/put imbalance (1002C/2148P)9.1 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total47/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ -6.7% Win | High | Dry run |
15/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| ADI | call |
$395.00 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (3.6%)
|
19/08/2026 | 785 / 0 | $637K | — |
46
Call/put imbalance (1153C/1353P)2.0 pts
Short interest (2.3d cover)19.2 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total46/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -1.7% Miss | Low | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
INBX
⚡
2 signals elevated together:
IV 128%
(93rd pct)
Concentration 45% of flow
(87th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$100.00 · 21/08/2026
far-OTM (13.2%)
|
19/08/2026 | 316 / 34 (9.3x) | $63K | — |
35
Call/put imbalance (673C/30P)22.9 pts
Short interest (15.6d cover)0.0 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (contradicted flagged side)0.0 pts
Total35/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ +4.8% Win | — | Dry run |
15/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| KLAR | call |
$21.00 · 21/08/2026
ATM (1.5%)
|
18/08/2026 | 738 / 0 | $123K | — |
71
Call/put imbalance (4254C/325P)21.5 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total71/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -24.5% Miss | — | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| KLAR | call |
$24.00 · 21/08/2026
deep-OTM (16.1%)
|
18/08/2026 | 1063 / 0 | $69K | — |
71
Call/put imbalance (4254C/325P)21.5 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total71/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -24.5% Miss | — | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| BIDU | put |
$91.00 · 21/08/2026
far-OTM (12.6%)
|
18/08/2026 | 11785 / 0 | $177K | — |
58
Call/put imbalance (20369C/35131P)6.6 pts
Short interest (4.3d cover)14.2 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total58/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
✅ -10.8% Win | High | Dry run |
18/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| TOL | put |
$145.00 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (2.2%)
|
18/08/2026 | 525 / 69 (7.6x) | $152K | — |
53
Call/put imbalance (134C/610P)16.0 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total53/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +2.2% Miss | High | Dry run |
15/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| KEYS | call |
$390.00 · 21/08/2026
far-OTM (10.2%)
|
18/08/2026 | 150 / 0 | $91K | — |
43
Call/put imbalance (452C/282P)5.8 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (no signal / low volume)12.5 pts
Total43/100
speculative pattern — concentrated far from the money: cheap, lower probability, large payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -11.5% Miss | — | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
| AS | put |
$32.50 · 21/08/2026
ATM (1.9%)
|
18/08/2026 | 783 / 0 | $117K | — |
42
Call/put imbalance (4231C/21421P)16.8 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (contradicted flagged side)0.0 pts
Total42/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ +4.5% Miss | High | Dry run |
14/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|
|
BBW
⚡
Concentration 93% of flow
3.2σ above normal (98.5th pct)
→ high bullish positioning
2 signals elevated together:
Concentration 93% of flow
(98th pct)
Score 73/100
(98th pct)
→ bullish positioning
|
call |
$40.00 · 21/08/2026
near-OTM (4.3%)
|
17/08/2026 | 1061 / 85 (12.5x) | $53K | — |
73
Call/put imbalance (1101C/41P)23.2 pts
Short interest (—d cover)12.5 pts
IV behavior (flat / no prior flag)12.5 pts
Underlying tape (consistent, elevated volume)25.0 pts
Total73/100
conviction pattern — concentrated near the money: higher probability, more expensive, modest payoff if right — not scored, context only
|
❌ -2.3% Miss | — | Dry run |
15/08/2026
flagged 1 day
|